Are You Ready for All This?


Hello

Today we are going to Muse about the future.   If this is your first visit, welcome to Musings. If you have been here before, welcome back. Over time we are going to talk about many things: the past, the present, perhaps the future, travel, art, society and more. Wherever my musing takes me. I hope you will come along with me.

Colored text is a link.  Clicking on the text will provide additional information about the subject.

Are You Ready for All This?

Happy New Year

Happy New Year

First, let me acknowledge the start of the new year, 2018.  My hope is that it is peaceful and that we enjoy good health . . . physical health, spiritual health and ethical health.

Here in Florida we are bathed in warmth.

At the Beach

surf time

surf time

umbrellas on the Beach

umbrellas on the Beach

and on the courts.

On the Courts

On the Courts

New Year's Eve

New Year’s Eve

New Years Eve Croquet

New Years Eve Croquet

Other parts of the country are not faring as well.  So . . . come on down.

Are you ready for for all this?

A friend sent me a summary of “a talk by the Head of Daimler Benz”.  I am sharing it with you now because I think you will find it quite interesting.

He wrote it is

A bit mind-blowing to say the least!   He predicted an interesting concept of what could lay ahead.
 
In a recent interview, the Head of Daimler Benz (Mercedes-Benz) said their competitors are no longer other car companies, but Tesla (obviously), and now, Google, Apple, Amazon ‘et al’ are……
 
Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
 
Uber is just a software tool, they don’t own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world.
 
Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don’t own any properties.
 
Artificial Intelligence:   Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world.   This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.
 
In the U.S., young lawyers already can’t get jobs.   Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.
 
So, if you study law, stop immediately.  There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain.
 
Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses.  Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans.  In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans
 
Autonomous cars:  In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the public.  Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted.  You don’t want to own a car anymore.   You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination.  You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving.   Our kids will never get a driver’s license and will never own a car.
 
It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that.  We can transform former parking spaces into parks.  
 
1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide   We now have one accident every  60,000 miles (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 6 million miles (10 million km).  That will save a million lives each year.
 
Most car companies will probably go bankrupt.   Traditional car companies will try the traditional approach and try to build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will take the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
 
Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla.
 
Auto Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, car insurance will become much cheaper.   Their car insurance business model will slowly disappear.
 
Real estate will change.  Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.
 
Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020.  Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.   Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean:   Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, and now you can now see the burgeoning impact.
 
Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil.   Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that can’t last.  Technology will take care of that strategy.
 
With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water.   Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kwh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents).   We don’t have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water.  Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
 
Health innovations:   The Tricorder X price will be announced this year.  There are companies who will build a medical device (called the “Tricorder” from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample, and you can breathe into it.
 
It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease.   It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medical analysis, nearly for free.  Goodbye, medical establishment.
 
3D printing:   The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years.  In the same time, it became 100 times faster.  All major shoe companies have already started 3D printing shoes.
 
Some common spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports.  The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to keep in the past.
 
At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities.  You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoes at home.
 
In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-storey office building..  By 2027, 10% of everything that’s being produced will be 3D printed
 
Business opportunities:  If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask yourself:  “In the future, do you think we will have that?”, and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?
 
If it doesn’t work with your phone, forget the idea.  And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the 21st century.
 
Work:  70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years.   There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a small time.
 
Agriculture:   There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of working all day on their fields.
 
Aeroponics will need much less water.   The first Petri dish that produced veal is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows.  Imagine if we don’t need that space anymore.  
 
There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly.  It contains more protein than meat.   It will be labeled as “alternative protein source” (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
 
There is an app called “moodies” which can already tell in which mood you’re in.  By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if you are lying.    I magine a political debate where it’s being displayed when they’re telling the truth and when they’re not
 
Bitcoin may even become the default reserve currency … Of the world!
 
Longevity:   Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year.  Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it’s 80 years. The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than one year increase per year.   So, we all might live for a long time, probably way more than 100.
 
Education:   The cheapest smart phones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia.  By 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smart phone.  That means, everyone has the same access to world class education.
 
Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child needs to learn at school in First World countries. There have already been releases of software in Indonesia and soon there will be releases in Arabic, Swahili, and Chinese this summer.  I can see enormous potential if we give the English app for free, so that children in Africa and everywhere else can become fluent in English.  And that could happen within half a year.

Are you ready for all this?!?!?

more to come

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Fine Art America, a Pixel.com company

Pixel.com is now offering YOGA MATS with reproductions of my artwork.  If you want to check it out, here are the steps:
1.  Click on the link below.
2.  Click on one of the galleries to open up the page of images.
3.  Click on an image you like.  It will open up a side bar with a number of options.
4.  Click on “LIFESTYLE”.  It will open up a menu of products.  If the mat is available for the image you chose, it will be at the bottom of the list.
5.  Click on “YOGA MAT” and it will open up a sizing slide so you can adjust the image.

Have fun.

My work is available as traditional prints on canvas, paper or metal, but it also available on greeting cards, phone covers, tote bags, shower curtains,  t-shirts and more.  It makes for some very personalized gifts.  Below is the link to the site.  When you click on an image in the site,  a menu of products will appear.  I hope you like it.

           CLICK ON:  thomas-tribby.pixels.com

If you like Musings, take a moment and click the subscription button on the side-bar to the right so you will be notified by e-mail when I make a new post.

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Books by Thomas L. Tribby Available
Click on title below to preview

Works on Paper

On The Waterfront

Impressions of Florida

These are available at

                                thomas-tribby.pixels.com

On The Boardwalk

On The Boardwalk

Click to see

Reading With Grapes

Reading With Grapes

Click to see

Turkey Strut Two

Turkey Strut Two

Click to See
For information about these or other original works of art, please feel free to contact us: 

 

 

 

 

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About Thomas L. Tribby

Professional artist: painter, sculptor, print maker. Maintains a studio in West Palm Beach, Florida
This entry was posted in art, art exhibit, English, Health, life style, work and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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